The US is home to 36.2 million small businesses, and together they employ about 46% of the private-sector workforce in the country.
That’s inspiring … and intimidating. The odds of carving out something new in a market that crowded are slim, but not impossible.
Every great business idea, whether it’s an online business or a brick-and-mortar store, comes down to the same thing: timing, demand, and execution. And now, the rise of AI and ecommerce—global retail ecommerce sales are projected to hit $6.42 trillion in 2025—has lowered startup costs, making it easier than ever to launch, but harder to stand out.
This guide breaks down how to tell if your idea has legs, how to test it without wasting money, and how to refine it before you build.
What makes a good business idea?
A profitable business idea does one thing well: It helps people make progress.
That progress can be functional (save time), emotional (feel confident), or social (fit in, stand out, or belong). The idea itself matters less than the job it does for the person paying you. That’s what’s at the core of the Jobs-to-be-Done (JTBD) framework.
So, instead of asking, “Who’s my target audience?” with the JTBD framework, you can ask, “What job are they hiring my product to do?”
When you think in “jobs” instead of demographics, you start spotting real gaps instead of imagined ones. The most innovative business ideas often combine all three; so they meet a need while tapping into how people want to feel or be seen.
But great ideas don’t have to reinvent the wheel. Many thriving specialized services, from virtual assistant services to social media management, started as niche solutions that solved one clear problem better than anyone else.
Kevin Espositio, founder of Epic Gardening, says it best: “You don’t have to invent anything. You have an audience that’s helping guide you toward the things that they really care about.”
⚡Take Starface, for example. “There are such strong skin care brands out there,” says company president Kara Brothers. “Of course there’s several and it’s only getting more crowded day by day. But we feel—and felt—that there is an opportunity for something that speaks directly to our Gen Z consumer. They’re very into self-expression. They love to have fun.”
So instead of just selling acne patches, Starface focused on the job its audience needed done: Help me feel confident and expressive, even when my skin isn’t perfect.
That’s a classic emotional job wrapped in a social one. The patches themselves solve a small functional job (covering a blemish), but the brand’s real power comes from reframing acne care as self-expression.
Back in 2022, Starface became the first pimple patch to hit the runway. Three years later, it returned at Ashley Williams’s Spring/Summer 2026 show during London Fashion Week, debuting its new Tiny Star patches.
The same logic applies beyond beauty: Gym+Coffee, an Irish athleisure brand, was built around the job of belonging. “We want Gym+Coffee to be a really welcoming and inclusive brand and business,” co-founder Nial Horgan explains. “So what we do is overemphasize a real welcoming feeling when people come to events. We’d go over, welcome people, introduce them around, we’d tell them a little bit about us, but also find out a little bit about them.”
That’s JTBD in motion: helping people feel part of something bigger while living an active lifestyle. The product (hoodies and leggings) handles the functional job, while the events and tone of voice tackle the social and emotional jobs of connection, confidence, and belonging.
What kind of business founder are you?
Being a successful entrepreneur starts with self-knowledge. By getting to know your strengths, weaknesses, and interests, you can leverage your strong suits, anticipate blind spots, and stay motivated when you get stuck during the business development process.
Some love the art of business and developing systems that produce value. For them, revenue is a way to keep score. Most entrepreneurs, however, are motivated by a problem, pain point, or passion, counting themselves among their customers. They love nothing more than seeing people enjoy their products as much as they do.
Your founder type shapes the kind of idea that’s sustainable for you:
- The creative founder thrives in markets where storytelling and aesthetics matter: fashion, food, or wellness.
- The analytical founder excels in niches that reward precision: logistics, finance tools, B2B software.
- The connector builds around community and conversation: experiences, education, or local retail.
- The operator succeeds with process and efficiency manufacturing, fulfillment, or services.
If you mismatch your personality to your business idea, friction shows up fast. Creative founders burn out managing spreadsheets, while analytical ones struggle if they’re forced to constantly perform on social media.
Ask yourself:
- Do you have expertise or a brand story that connects to your product category?
- Are there skills you don’t have but could outsource?
- Are you personally invested in the problem you’re solving—or could you grow to be?
- Could you create content to grow your audience online?
💡Pro tip: After studying some of the one million small business owners on Shopify, our research revealed five business founder types:
- The growth-minded Mountaineer
- The plucky Trailblazer
- The always-prepared Cartographer
- The risk-taking Firestarter
- The steady Outsider
👉Take the quiz to discover which one you are, and get tailored advice on choosing an idea that fits how you build.
Some founders come in with deep industry roots. Others build the wings mid-flight. “I had zero knowledge of the shoe industry,” says Cassidy Caulk, founder of Kindred Label. “And so when I had the idea for a shoe, I’m very big on DIY, hands on, building things, learning new skills. I really leaned heavily on YouTube … and learned how to cobble and make shoes from YouTube.”
Cassidy represents the Trailblazer founder type: self-starter energy, high learning agility, and zero fear of jumping in without credentials. For founders like her, the best business ideas are ones that reward experimentation and momentum—where you can prototype, iterate, and learn as you go.
Who is your target audience?
The beauty of running an online business is that your data lives in plain sight: search terms, marketplace listings, and social comments reveal what people actually want.
You want to start with two questions about your target audience before building your own business:
- What are people already searching for, buying, or complaining about?
- What problem do they want solved badly enough to pay for?
Then, start with this free research toolkit that tells you what people are doing right now:
- Google Trends shows you how search interest is changing over time: which products or topics are rising, falling, or spiking seasonally.
- Reddit and TikTok comments reveal how your potential audience talks about those problems in their own words.
- Google Autocomplete and People Also Ask on Google are goldmines for discovering how people phrase intent, and where existing solutions fall short.
- Analyze marketplaces like Amazon or Etsy, where similar products are already being purchased. This will help you size up the market and determine how you might pitch your products or services to potential customers.
- Research industry trends relevant to your company using sites like Statista or Meta Foresight.
- Use keyword research to understand your business opportunity through Google search trends.
“Doing keyword research with a tool like Ahrefs or Semrush helps get a realistic view of search demand,” says Shane Pollard, chief technology officer (CTO) at Be Media. “It also helps with opportunity mapping: If the difficulty is high, I can look for longer-tail results. The long-tail approach is best for entering new markets.”
Example: Say you want to start a small business selling candles.
“Scented candles” is saturated: high search volume, high competition. The global scented candle market is projected to reach $764.2 million by 2030.
Plug that term into Google Trends, and you’ll spot seasonal spikes during the holidays.
A quick Trends deep dive confirms that related queries like “are scented candles bad for babies” and “do scented candles cause cancer” are surging.
That tells you exactly what buyers care about: ingredients, safety, and trust.
On Etsy, the top sellers tell the same story. Shops like HomemadeByMegz feature 100% natural soy, chemical-free candles labeled with scents like Peppermint Eucalyptus and Lemon Rosemary—and they’re marked as a “Bestseller.”
Put those clues together, and suddenly your target market isn’t “candle lovers”—it’s health-conscious buyers looking for sustainable, slow-burn, non-toxic home scents: a niche with consistent, rising interest.
5 business idea validation methods
Once you’ve identified your audience, it’s time to test whether your idea works in the wild.
Validation is about gathering enough real-world data to prove people want what you’re offering and will pay for it.
Here are five practical ways to validate your small business idea before you commit serious time or money:
1. Talk to potential customers
Reach out to people who fit your target audience (not friends or family) and ask open-ended questions:
- What problem are you trying to solve right now?
- How are you solving it today?
- What frustrates you about existing options?
You’ll quickly spot patterns in what people actually value versus what you think they value.
Tools like Typeform, Google Forms, or even Instagram Stories polls can help collect early insights at scale.
“We’re constantly interviewing our customers and I’m actually on video calls with them,” says Fluff founder, Erika Geraertz. “Often, as a founder, you have an idea in your head and it’s really good to either validate that or challenge that assumption by turning to your customers.”
And this is exactly the point of early interviews: to prove or disprove what you think you know. Every conversation gives you data to shape your product, your messaging, and even your brand personality before you spend a dollar on marketing.
2. Test with a simple minimum viable product (MVP)
An MVP doesn’t have to be fancy, just functional enough to test demand. You can validate anything, from online education courses to personal training packages, with a simple MVP.
A recent survey by GoodFirms found that 91.3% of businesses claim they’ve launched a product using an MVP approach, and 81.7% believe an MVP helps test the feasibility of an idea.
That might look like:
- A landing page describing your offer with a “Join the waitlist” or “Preorder now” CTA button
- A one-product Shopify store to test conversion rates—it’s quick to set up, easy to track performance, and lets you test real transactions without heavy upfront costs
- A prototype or sample batch you show to early customers for feedback
If people sign up, share, or pay (even a little), you’ve got traction. If they hesitate, you’ve found friction worth fixing.
Take Mush Studios, the New York–based homeware brand that made oddly shaped rugs cool again. Founder Jacob Winter started small, testing one design: the Blot Rug, an irregular, paint-spill-shaped tufted rug. When it went viral on TikTok (23 million views in its first year), Mush used the feedback loop to fine-tune designs, pricing, and materials before expanding the line.
“We were getting the feedback of what was working and what wasn’t,” Jacob says. “That way, we weren’t wasting any time or resources making unnecessary designs.”
That’s the real MVP playbook:
- Collect every piece of feedback—everywhere from surveys to DMs and support tickets.
- Fix the high-impact, low-effort issues first.
- Re-test with the same audience to see if the change moves the needle.
3. Analyze competitors
Competitive analysis is about learning what’s already working.
Look at:
- Positioning. How do they describe their value?
- Pricing. Are they premium, mid-market, or budget?
- Reviews. What do customers praise or complain about most?
Tools like Similarweb, Ahrefs, or Exploding Topics can reveal competitors’ top traffic sources and trending content. Pay special attention to the gaps in customer feedback — that’s where your differentiation lives.
💡Pro tip: Use Porter’s Five Forces to gauge market strength.If you’re evaluating a new market or niche for long-term potential, Porter’s Five Forces can help you assess how powerful your competitors really are.
This framework looks at five key pressures that shape profitability:
- Competitive rivalry. How many players are in the space, and how strong are they?
- Threat of new entrants. How easy is it for newcomers to break in?
- Bargaining power of buyers. Can customers drive prices down easily?
- Bargaining power of suppliers. Can suppliers raise your costs without much pushback?
- Threat of substitutes. How easily can customers find an alternative solution?
Look for evidence in market reports, competitor sites, and customer reviews to identify whether each force is strong (the industry’s harder to profit in) or weak (more opportunity for new entrants).
4. Run small paid experiments
Before scaling, spend a small ad budget testing interest. Set up simple Facebook or Google Ads with clear messaging and track click-throughs or signups.
You’ll learn which headlines and audiences respond—fast.
“We taught ourselves Facebook Ads, Instagram Ads, and Google Ads because it would be expensive to pay an agency or pay someone a percentage of ad spend to run those ads for you,” says Mad Rabbit co-founder Selom Agbitor on his DIY approach. “And most of our learning came from Google and YouTube. Just whatever questions we had, we would type them into Google.”
If 100 people click but nobody converts, it’s not a total failure. You’ve learned something about messaging or product-market fit before spending months building the wrong thing.
5. Validate with preorders or crowdfunding
Nothing validates an idea like real money. Run preorders directly through your Shopify store using apps like PreProduct or Crowdfunder, letting you validate demand and collect early revenue before production starts.
LastObject, for example, launched a crowdfunding campaign and hit their goal in just 22 minutes, raising $700,000 from over 19,000 backers in their mission to eliminate single-use plastic.
“We started testing and we did it with email collection. We tested it out by putting some money in email marketing where we sent out, ‘Did you know this is coming on Kickstarter? If you sign up now, then we’ll give you even more discounts.’ Two weeks into this campaign, we saw how high the conversion rate was.”
Even a handful of early backers is a strong sign of genuine interest, and gives you customer feedback before you produce at scale.
How profitable is your business idea?
Once you’ve validated demand, the next question is whether it can sustain you and scale.
Profitability is about how much you keep after costs, suppliers, fees, and marketing. Your margins depend heavily on your business model, how you source or produce, and what kind of pricing power you can maintain as you grow.
For online stores, a realistic gross margin target is somewhere around 50% for a well-branded direct-to-consumer (DTC) business with strong product differentiation and cost control.
Here’s how average profit margins stack up across common models:
| Business model | Typical gross margin rate | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| DTC ecommerce (own brand) | ~40%–60% | Higher margins if you manufacture or private-label your own products, but marketing costs can eat into profits. |
| Dropshipping | Average ~20%, range ~10%–30% | Low upfront investment, but thinner margins and limited control over fulfillment and branding. |
| Wholesale B2B | 2%–10% | Lower margins per item, but larger order volumes and recurring contracts can offset it. |
| Service-based business | ~55%–65% gross margin for professional services (e.g., consulting business, digital marketing services) | Profit margins vary based on labor costs, utilization rates, and pricing structure. |
| Digital products | As high as ~97% | Minimal production costs; profit depends mostly on audience size and marketing efficiency. |
But remember, gross profit margin doesn’t tell you how successful your business is or how much you’ll actually earn overall—it simply tells you how much you make for every dollar you spend producing or sourcing your product.
For example, if your candle costs $5 to make and sells for $15, your gross margin is 67%.
That means for every $15 sale, you keep $10 before expenses like packaging, marketing, transaction fees, and overhead.
If your paid ads and fulfillment costs eat up $8 of that $10, your net margin drops to 13%—still positive, but tight.
That’s why it’s crucial to calculate both gross and net margins. Gross margin helps you understand your pricing power; net margin tells you if you’re actually building a profitable business.
When evaluating the viability of your business plan, be aware of the interplay between the following variables:
- Break-even point. Your break-even point is the number of products or services you need to sell to at least cover your costs like warehousing and inventory. You can calculate it using the following formula: Fixed Costs / (Average Price - Variable Costs). You can also download our break-even analysis template.
- Repeat purchase rate. What’s the likelihood that a customer will return to make another purchase of your product? If it’s low, will one or two transactions generate enough income to sustain business success?
- Customer lifetime value. How much profit do you expect to generate from the entirety of a typical customer’s relationship with you? The more money an average customer will spend over time, the more solid your business foundation.
- Allowable customer acquisition cost. How much can you reasonably pay to acquire a customer? The higher the lifetime value of a customer, the more you can spend to bring in new customers and tolerate less (or even no) profit on their first order.
A good business idea should allow you to derive much more value from your customer base than what you pay to acquire it.
📚Read more:24 Low-Cost Business Ideas With High Profit Returns
How will your business reach customers?
Every healthy business runs on repeatable sales and marketing systems—the kind that keep working in the background.
Driving traffic with Facebook ads or posting on Instagram can be part of that machine, but they’re not the machine. Instead, think about the different ways your customers can discover and connect with you—and the tools that make those channels measurable, scalable, and repeatable.
1. Search: Meet intent where it starts
Is your market searching online for your products? Start by researching what they’re searching for and how often.
- Use Google Keyword Planner or Ahrefs to gauge search volume and keyword competitiveness.
- Experiment with Google Trends for spotting seasonal patterns.
- Take advantage of Shopify’s built-in search engine optimization (SEO) tools to optimize titles, metadata, and URLs once your site is live.
If there’s consistent demand, build a search engine marketing (SEM) plan to capture it; pairing organic SEO with Google Ads to reach high-intent shoppers.
2. Wholesale, gifting, and bulk opportunities
Are there retailers or businesses that might want to stock your products?
- Create a dedicated wholesale page on your site with contact forms or inquiry options.
- Use Shopify B2B to manage wholesale pricing, custom catalogs, and corporate orders directly from your Shopify admin.
These channels diversify your income streams and build reliable order volume beyond individual customers.
3. Partnerships and creators
Are there creators, bloggers, or events with audiences that mirror your own?
- Use UpPromote to find and manage influencer partnerships.
- Try SparkToro to identify podcasts, social accounts, and newsletters your audience already follows.
- Track referral links and affiliate payouts through Refersion.
Collaborations amplify your reach fast, especially when your partners already have earned trust with your ideal customers.
Taylor Frankel, co-founder of NUDESTIX, calls it CSOP: celebrity stock option plan. “As a small brand, we obviously don’t have these crazy budgets and millions of dollars to pay celebrities to post about our product,” Taylor says, “but we figured out this way to incentivize and get creators and celebrities excited about, you know, the future … positioning themselves not just as a creator and not just as a celebrity, but as an investor, as a business owner.”
NUDESTIX’s approach redefines the typical influencer deal: turning collaborators into stakeholders. When creators have ownership in the outcome, promotion becomes partnership.
4. Email capture and nurturing
Can you give people a reason to join your email list before they’re ready to buy?
Offer a discount, quiz result, or downloadable guide.
- Use Shopify Forms for easy on-site sign-ups.
- Try Klaviyo or Shopify Email to automate welcome sequences, cart reminders, and product recommendations.
- Play around with Canva or Figma for branded lead magnets.
Email lets you communicate directly—for free.
5. Turn customers into your marketing engine
Would your customers show off your product on their own?
Encourage user-generated content (UGC) with social prompts and incentives.
Use Shopify Flow or Klaviyo to trigger post-purchase emails that encourage reviews and shares.
“The more you automate with tools like Flow, the more money a business can make. It’s allowed us to run three Shopify stores without hiring an employee for each one,” shares Julio Giannotti, web manager at Scandinavian Designs.
Additionally, try Yotpo or Okendo to collect and display visual reviews on your site.
Turn your idea into a great business plan
If you’ve worked through the questions above, you’re already past the hardest part: knowing what to build and who it’s for.
When you’re ready to put pen to paper, you have two main ways to structure it: a traditional business plan or a lean business plan.
A traditional business plan is best for founders who want to seek funding or get investors on board. They’re typically 20 to 40 pages long, and cover everything from your market analysis and competitive positioning to operations, staffing, and five-year financial forecasts.
But that depth comes at a cost: time.
If you’re still validating your idea or bootstrapping your first launch, a lean business plan might be a better fit.
Lean plans strip your business model down to its essentials:
- What problem are you solving?
- Who are you solving it for?
- How will you make money?
- What’s your “unfair” advantage?
They’re usually one to two pages long and designed to evolve quickly as you test assumptions.
Whichever you choose, the key is to get your thoughts out of your head and into a format you can test, refine, and share.
Ready to map it out? Start drafting with Shopify’s free business plan template: it’s flexible enough for either approach.
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What makes a good business idea FAQ
What makes a good business idea worth pursuing?
A good business idea solves a real problem for a specific audience—and people are willing to pay for that solution. The best ideas also match the founder’s skills, resources, and motivation. If you can identify a clear customer “job to be done,” prove consistent demand, and see a path to profitability, it’s worth exploring.
How is an idea turned into a business?
Turning an idea into a business starts with validation. Talk to potential customers, test your concept with a simple MVP, and refine based on feedback. Once you’ve confirmed real demand, build your sales and marketing systems, set up operations, and formalize your plan.
Shopify makes it easy to launch quickly, sell online, and start gathering data in real time.
What business idea is most profitable?
Profitability depends on your model and margins. Service-based ideas like a pet-sitting business, freelance writing, or a graphic design business often have low startup costs and strong margins if you specialize in a high-demand niche.
What makes a good business idea stand out?
A business stands out when it connects emotionally with its audience and delivers a better experience than competitors. The best ideas balance innovation and sustainability, driving steady small business growth over time.
What percentage of new businesses succeed?
According to a US Bureau of Labor Statistics brief, 77.6% of new US business establishments born in 2022 survived their first year.
Another report says that 41.7% of retail trade businesses established in March 2013 were still operating a decade later, in March 2023.





